{"id":91383,"date":"2026-11-05T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/?p=91383"},"modified":"2026-11-05T12:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T11:00:00","slug":"bez-chin-nie-oznacza-bez-ryzyka-technologicznego","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/pl\/aktualnosci\/bez-chin-nie-oznacza-bez-ryzyka-technologicznego\/","title":{"rendered":"Bez Chin nie oznacza bez ryzyka technologicznego"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tajwa\u0144ski <a href=\"https:\/\/tradeinfo.cz\/clanky\/tsmc-akcie-cipovy-gigant-vydelava-na-umele-inteligenci-co-muze-zastavit-jeho-rust\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">producent uk\u0142ad\u00f3w scalonych Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC)<\/a> 10 listopada 2026 roku poinformowa\u0142 o <a href=\"https:\/\/pr.tsmc.com\/english\/news\/3349\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">wzro\u015bcie przychod\u00f3w w pa\u017adzierniku o 59,7% rok do roku<\/a>. Inwestuj\u0105c poza ameryka\u0144skimi akcjami, nie wystarczy jednak \u015bledzi\u0107 wzrostu firm ani ich kraju pochodzenia. Analiza <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etfobchodnik.com\/sk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ETFobchodn\u00edka<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/etfobchodnik.com\/sk\/blog\/bez-ciny-s-technologickym-rizikom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201eBez \u010c\u00edny, s technologick\u00fdm rizikem\u201d<\/a> pokazuje, \u017ce dla dywersyfikacji ryzyka wa\u017cni s\u0105 tak\u017ce klienci tych sp\u00f3\u0142ek oraz to, kt\u00f3r\u0105 dotychczasow\u0105 inwestycj\u0119 zast\u0105pi nowy fundusz.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Spis tre\u015bci artyku\u0142u &#8211; Bez Chin nie znaczy bez ryzyka technologicznego:<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-aioseo-table-of-contents\"><ul><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-asijska-firma-muze-mit-severoamericky-odbyt\">Asijsk\u00e1 firma m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt severoamerick\u00fd odbyt<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-rust-zisku-nemusi-zvysit-cenu-akcie\">R\u016fst zisku nemus\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it cenu akcie<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-zalezi-i-na-tom-co-novy-fond-nahradi\">Z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed i na tom, co nov\u00fd fond nahrad\u00ed<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-eurova-kotace-sama-neodstranuje-menove-riziko\">Eurov\u00e1 kotace sama neodstra\u0148uje m\u011bnov\u00e9 riziko<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-asijska-firma-muze-mit-severoamericky-odbyt\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Azjatycka firma mo\u017ce mie\u0107 p\u00f3\u0142nocnoameryka\u0144ski rynek zbytu<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TSMC w trzecim kwartale 2026 roku uzyska\u0142a <a href=\"https:\/\/investor.tsmc.com\/english\/encrypt\/files\/encrypt_file\/reports\/2026-10\/f83780000ddc0c3b48e57a87eab6814c4ab35058\/3Q26%20ManagementReport.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">79% przychod\u00f3w od klient\u00f3w z siedzib\u0105 w Ameryce P\u00f3\u0142nocnej<\/a>. Indyjski Infosys w tym samym okresie kalendarzowym wykaza\u0142 z tego regionu <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/1067491\/000106749126000044\/exv99w04.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">54,6% przychod\u00f3w, a z Indii zaledwie 2,8%<\/a>. Azjatyckie umiejscowienie sp\u00f3\u0142ki nie oznacza wi\u0119c, \u017ce jej sprzeda\u017c opiera si\u0119 g\u0142\u00f3wnie na rynku lokalnym. Inwestor mo\u017ce zmieni\u0107 geograficzn\u0105 struktur\u0119 portfela, ale znaczna cz\u0119\u015b\u0107 przychod\u00f3w kupowanych sp\u00f3\u0142ek nadal b\u0119dzie pochodzi\u0107 od klient\u00f3w z siedzib\u0105 w Ameryce P\u00f3\u0142nocnej.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pomini\u0119cie chi\u0144skich akcji nie eliminuje przy tym powi\u0105za\u0144 biznesowych z Chinami. TSMC od chi\u0144skich klient\u00f3w w tym samym kwartale uzyska\u0142a <a href=\"https:\/\/investor.tsmc.com\/english\/encrypt\/files\/encrypt_file\/reports\/2026-10\/f83780000ddc0c3b48e57a87eab6814c4ab35058\/3Q26%20ManagementReport.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">5% przychod\u00f3w<\/a>. Wa\u017cne jest r\u00f3wnie\u017c to, co firma sprzedaje. W przypadku TSMC <a href=\"https:\/\/investor.tsmc.com\/english\/encrypt\/files\/encrypt_file\/reports\/2026-10\/f83780000ddc0c3b48e57a87eab6814c4ab35058\/3Q26%20ManagementReport.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">68% przychod\u00f3w przypada\u0142o na obliczenia wysokiej wydajno\u015bci<\/a>, czyli segment wydajnych komputer\u00f3w i serwer\u00f3w. Jest on szerszy ni\u017c samo <a href=\"https:\/\/trade-info.sk\/clanky\/google-zablokoval-viac-ako-8-miliard-skodlivych-reklam-pomohla-mu-umela-inteligencia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sztuczna inteligencja (AI)<\/a>, dlatego tego udzia\u0142u nie mo\u017cna uto\u017csamia\u0107 z przychodami z AI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Mo\u017ce Ci\u0119 zainteresowa\u0107:<a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/pl\/academy\/co-oznacza-jastrzebie-na-rynkach-sygnaly-bankow-centralnych\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Co oznacza jastrz\u0119bia polityka na rynkach?<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-rust-zisku-nemusi-zvysit-cenu-akcie\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Wzrost zysku nie musi podnie\u015b\u0107 ceny akcji<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O wyniku inwestycji decyduje tak\u017ce cena, kt\u00f3r\u0105 <a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/pl\/gielda\/znaczenie-risk-off-jak-zachowuja-sie-rynki-gdy-inwestorzy-szukaja-bezpiecznej-przystani\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">inwestor<\/a> p\u0142aci za dany biznes. Stosunek ceny akcji do zysku na akcj\u0119 (P\/E) pokazuje, ile kosztuje jednostka zysku. Je\u015bli cena ju\u017c uwzgl\u0119dnia wysokie oczekiwania, nawet rosn\u0105ca firma mo\u017ce przynie\u015b\u0107 s\u0142aby wynik, gdy rynek obni\u017cy kwot\u0119, jak\u0105 jest sk\u0142onny zap\u0142aci\u0107 za jej zyski.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Przy ilustracyjnym wzro\u015bcie zysku na akcj\u0119 o 10% i jednoczesnym spadku P\/E o 15% cena akcji spadnie o 6,5%. Wy\u017cszy zysk nie zr\u00f3wnowa\u017cy w tym przypadku ni\u017cszej wyceny. Jest to modelowe wyliczenie przed uwzgl\u0119dnieniem dywidend, wp\u0142ywu walut i koszt\u00f3w, a nie historyczny wynik ani prognoza. Wzrost biznesu nale\u017cy wi\u0119c por\u00f3wnywa\u0107 z oczekiwaniami ju\u017c zawartymi w cenie zakupu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Czytaj wi\u0119cej: <a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/pl\/recenze\/etoro-aktualne\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">eToro \u2013 Recenzja znanego brokera<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-zalezi-i-na-tom-co-novy-fond-nahradi\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Liczy si\u0119 te\u017c to, co zast\u0105pi nowy fundusz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u017amy portfel o warto\u015bci 10 000 euro, w kt\u00f3rym akcje technologiczne stanowi\u0105 3000 euro, czyli 30%. Inwestor przenosi 1000 euro do nowego koszyka akcji z po\u0142owicznym udzia\u0142em technologii. Nowa inwestycja dodaje wi\u0119c 500 euro akcji technologicznych. Ten ilustracyjny przyk\u0142ad nie odzwierciedla aktualnego sk\u0142adu EMXU ani zalecanej wielko\u015bci inwestycji. \u0141\u0105czna warto\u015b\u0107 portfela si\u0119 nie zmienia, a model nie uwzgl\u0119dnia zmian cen ani koszt\u00f3w.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Je\u015bli zakup zostanie sfinansowany sprzeda\u017c\u0105 wy\u0142\u0105cznie akcji technologicznych, udzia\u0142 technologii spadnie do 25%. Przy proporcjonalnym zmniejszeniu wszystkich dotychczasowych sk\u0142adnik\u00f3w portfela wyniesie 32%, a przy wykorzystaniu dotychczasowej got\u00f3wki 35%. Ten sam zakup mo\u017ce wi\u0119c zar\u00f3wno zmniejszy\u0107, jak i zwi\u0119kszy\u0107 koncentracj\u0119 technologiczn\u0105, zale\u017cnie od tego, co zast\u0105pi. Wyliczenie mierzy udzia\u0142 jednej bran\u017cy, natomiast na ca\u0142kowite ryzyko wp\u0142ywaj\u0105 tak\u017ce waluty, kraje i wzajemne zale\u017cno\u015bci mi\u0119dzy inwestycjami.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-eurova-kotace-sama-neodstranuje-menove-riziko\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Notowanie w euro samo nie eliminuje ryzyka walutowego<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analiza opiera si\u0119 na funduszu gie\u0142dowym (ETF) Amundi o symbolu EMXU, kt\u00f3ry inwestuje w akcje rynk\u00f3w wschodz\u0105cych bez Chin. \u015aledzi indeks, kt\u00f3ry przy wyborze sp\u00f3\u0142ek uwzgl\u0119dnia tak\u017ce <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amundietf.lu\/pdfDocuments\/monthly-factsheet\/LU2345046655\/ENG\/LUX\/INSTITUTIONNEL\/ETF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">kryteria \u015brodowiskowe i spo\u0142eczne oraz jako\u015b\u0107 zarz\u0105dzania<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etfobchodnik.com\/sk\/instruments\/etf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ETFobchodn\u00edk oferuje go pod symbolami EMXU.XETRA i EMXU.LSE<\/a>. Pierwszy jest notowany na gie\u0142dzie Xetra w euro (EUR), drugi na Londy\u0144skiej Gie\u0142dzie Papier\u00f3w Warto\u015bciowych w dolarach ameryka\u0144skich (USD). <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amundietf.lu\/pdfDocuments\/monthly-factsheet\/LU2345046655\/ENG\/LUX\/INSTITUTIONNEL\/ETF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jest to ta sama klasa funduszu<\/a>. Zakup w euro sam&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inwestor powinien najpierw okre\u015bli\u0107, jak\u0105 zale\u017cno\u015b\u0107 chce zmniejszy\u0107, i por\u00f3wna\u0107 aktualny sk\u0142ad nowego funduszu z tym, co ju\u017c posiada. Nast\u0119pnie warto oceni\u0107 cen\u0119 zakupu, koszty oraz okres, na jaki mo\u017ce zainwestowa\u0107 pieni\u0105dze. Analiza <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etfobchodnik.com\/sk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ETFobchodn\u00edka<\/a> \u201e<a href=\"https:\/\/etfobchodnik.com\/sk\/blog\/bez-ciny-s-technologickym-rizikom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bez \u010c\u00edny, s technologick\u00fdm rizikem<\/a>\u201d omawia te zagadnienia bardziej szczeg\u00f3\u0142owo. Jej praktycznym punktem wyj\u015bcia jest ocena nowego funduszu \u0142\u0105cznie z inwestycj\u0105, kt\u00f3r\u0105 zast\u0105pi, oraz przeliczenie jego wp\u0142ywu na ca\u0142y portfel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Zobacz: <a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/pl\/recenze\/bitmarkets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Recenzja BITmarkets [Aktualnie]\">Recenzja BITmarkets <\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jakub Matis, analityk sp\u00f3\u0142ki&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/etfobchodnik.com\/cs\/blog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ETFobchodnik.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*<em>Wsp\u00f3\u0142praca p\u0142atna<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0179r\u00f3d\u0142o zdj\u0119cia: Unsplash<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tajwa\u0144ski producent uk\u0142ad\u00f3w scalonych Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) 10 listopada 2026 roku poinformowa\u0142 o wzro\u015bcie przychod\u00f3w w pa\u017adzierniku o 59,7% rok do roku. Inwestuj\u0105c poza ameryka\u0144skimi akcjami, nie wystarczy jednak \u015bledzi\u0107 wzrostu firm ani ich kraju pochodzenia. Analiza ETFobchodn\u00edka \u201eBez \u010c\u00edny, s technologick\u00fdm rizikem\u201d pokazuje, \u017ce dla dywersyfikacji ryzyka wa\u017cni s\u0105 tak\u017ce klienci tych [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":91367,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4848],"tags":[4924,4914],"class_list":["post-91383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-aktualnosci","tag-chiny","tag-gospodarka"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.4 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ETF bez Chin nie oznacza braku ryzyka technologicznego. 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