{"id":84473,"date":"2026-03-31T12:58:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T10:58:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/?p=84473"},"modified":"2026-03-31T12:58:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T10:58:55","slug":"komputery-kwantowe-moga-wkrotce-zlamac-bitcoin-w-kilka-minut-ostrzega-google","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/pl\/cryptonews-pl\/komputery-kwantowe-moga-wkrotce-zlamac-bitcoin-w-kilka-minut-ostrzega-google\/","title":{"rendered":"Komputery kwantowe mog\u0105 wkr\u00f3tce z\u0142ama\u0107 Bitcoin w kilka minut \u2013 ostrzega Google"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jeszcze do niedawna komputery kwantowe by\u0142y postrzegane jako odleg\u0142e zagro\u017cenie, kt\u00f3re wp\u0142ynie na kryptowaluty dopiero za kilka dekad. Nowe badania Google znacz\u0105co podwa\u017caj\u0105 to za\u0142o\u017cenie. Wed\u0142ug najnowszych ustale\u0144 z\u0142amanie kryptografii, na kt\u00f3rej opieraj\u0105 si\u0119 Bitcoin i Ethereum, mo\u017ce wymaga\u0107 znacznie mniej zasob\u00f3w obliczeniowych, ni\u017c wcze\u015bniej przypuszczano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mniej kubit\u00f3w ni\u017c oczekiwano<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">W swoim badaniu Google wskazuje, \u017ce z\u0142amanie kryptografii krzywych eliptycznych (ECDLP-256), kt\u00f3ra zabezpiecza wi\u0119kszo\u015b\u0107 blockchain\u00f3w, mo\u017ce wymaga\u0107 komputera kwantowego z mniej ni\u017c 500 tysi\u0105cami fizycznych kubit\u00f3w. To oko\u0142o dwadzie\u015bcia razy mniej ni\u017c wcze\u015bniejsze szacunki.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kubit jest podstawow\u0105 jednostk\u0105 komputera kwantowego \u2014 im wi\u0119cej ich posiada, tym bardziej z\u0142o\u017cone obliczenia mo\u017ce wykonywa\u0107. Zmniejszenie wymaganej liczby kubit\u00f3w znacz\u0105co przybli\u017ca scenariusz, w kt\u00f3rym ataki kwantowe stan\u0105 si\u0119 realnym zagro\u017ceniem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin pod presj\u0105: atak w kilka minut<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Badanie sugeruje r\u00f3wnie\u017c, \u017ce w scenariuszu teoretycznym komputer kwantowy m\u00f3g\u0142by ujawni\u0107 klucz prywatny portfela Bitcoin w zaledwie dziewi\u0119\u0107 minut. To kluczowy czas, poniewa\u017c Bitcoin dzia\u0142a w oko\u0142o dziesi\u0119ciominutowych odst\u0119pach mi\u0119dzy blokami.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">W tym kr\u00f3tkim oknie czasowym mo\u017cliwy by\u0142by tzw. \u201eatak w trakcie transakcji\u201d (on-spend attack). Polega on na tym, \u017ce atakuj\u0105cy wykorzystuje moment, w kt\u00f3rym klucz publiczny zostaje ujawniony podczas transakcji, a nast\u0119pnie za pomoc\u0105 oblicze\u0144 kwantowych wyprowadza klucz prywatny i kradnie \u015brodki.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wsp\u00f3\u0142autor badania i badacz zwi\u0105zany z Ethereum, Justin Drake, ostrzega, \u017ce prawdopodobie\u0144stwo tzw. \u201eQ-Day\u201d \u2014 dnia, w kt\u00f3rym komputery kwantowe zaczn\u0105 realnie zagra\u017ca\u0107 kryptografii \u2014 nie jest ju\u017c pomijalne. Jego zdaniem istnieje co najmniej 10% szans, \u017ce nast\u0105pi to do 2032 roku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ethereum mo\u017ce by\u0107 jeszcze bardziej podatne<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Podczas gdy atak na Bitcoina musia\u0142by zosta\u0107 przeprowadzony w bardzo kr\u00f3tkim czasie, Ethereum zmaga si\u0119 z g\u0142\u0119bszym problemem strukturalnym, wed\u0142ug Google.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Model kont w Ethereum umo\u017cliwia tzw. \u201eataki w spoczynku\u201d (at-rest attacks). Gdy konto Ethereum wykona swoj\u0105 pierwsz\u0105 transakcj\u0119, jego klucz publiczny pozostaje trwale widoczny w blockchainie. Oznacza to, \u017ce atakuj\u0105cy nie jest ograniczony czasowo \u2014 mo\u017ce po\u015bwi\u0119ci\u0107 dowolnie du\u017co czasu na wyprowadzenie klucza prywatnego.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wed\u0142ug szacunk\u00f3w Google mo\u017cliwe by\u0142oby z\u0142amanie 1000 najbogatszych ujawnionych kont w sieci Ethereum \u2014 kt\u00f3re \u0142\u0105cznie posiadaj\u0105 oko\u0142o 20,5 miliona ETH \u2014 w mniej ni\u017c dziewi\u0119\u0107 dni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Badacze podkre\u015blaj\u0105, \u017ce jest to podatno\u015b\u0107 systemowa, kt\u00f3rej nie da si\u0119 rozwi\u0105za\u0107 poprzez zmian\u0119 zachowa\u0144 u\u017cytkownik\u00f3w. Jedynym rozwi\u0105zaniem jest przej\u015bcie na kryptografi\u0119 postkwantow\u0105 (PQC), odporn\u0105 na tego typu ataki.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Czas si\u0119 ko\u0144czy: Google wyznacza rok 2029<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na podstawie swoich ustale\u0144 Google wyznaczy\u0142o rok 2029 jako termin przej\u015bcia na kryptografi\u0119 postkwantow\u0105. Wed\u0142ug firmy \u201egranice kwantowe s\u0105 bli\u017cej, ni\u017c si\u0119 wydaje\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Podobne obawy wyra\u017caj\u0105 tak\u017ce inni uczestnicy rynku. Inwestor Nic Carter okre\u015bli\u0142 kryptografi\u0119 opart\u0105 na krzywych eliptycznych jako technologi\u0119 \u201ena granicy przestarza\u0142o\u015bci\u201d. Zwr\u00f3ci\u0142 r\u00f3wnie\u017c uwag\u0119, \u017ce deweloperzy Ethereum ju\u017c aktywnie pracuj\u0105 nad rozwi\u0105zaniami, podczas gdy podej\u015bcie Bitcoina w tym obszarze wydaje si\u0119 s\u0142absze.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ethereum Foundation przedstawi\u0142a ju\u017c w tym roku plan przej\u015bcia na zabezpieczenia postkwantowe. Wsp\u00f3\u0142za\u0142o\u017cyciel Vitalik Buterin podkre\u015bli\u0142, \u017ce zmiany obejm\u0105 ca\u0142\u0105 infrastruktur\u0119 \u2014 od podpis\u00f3w walidator\u00f3w, przez przechowywanie danych, a\u017c po struktur\u0119 kont.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Co to oznacza dla zwyk\u0142ych inwestor\u00f3w<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dla przeci\u0119tnego u\u017cytkownika kryptowalut komputery kwantowe nie stanowi\u0105 jeszcze bezpo\u015bredniego zagro\u017cenia. Technologia nie osi\u0105gn\u0119\u0142a poziomu umo\u017cliwiaj\u0105cego realne ataki.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nowe badania pokazuj\u0105 jednak, \u017ce horyzont czasowy mo\u017ce si\u0119 skraca\u0107 szybciej, ni\u017c oczekiwano. Je\u015bli rozw\u00f3j technologii kwantowej utrzyma obecne tempo, sektor kryptowalut b\u0119dzie musia\u0142 zareagowa\u0107 w ci\u0105gu kilku lat, a nie dekad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kluczowe pytanie brzmi, czy projekty blockchain zd\u0105\u017c\u0105 przej\u015b\u0107 na nowe standardy bezpiecze\u0144stwa, zanim komputery kwantowe osi\u0105gn\u0105 odpowiedni\u0105 moc. Gdy to nast\u0105pi, mo\u017ce to by\u0107 jedno z najwi\u0119kszych wyzwa\u0144 bezpiecze\u0144stwa w historii cyfrowych finans\u00f3w.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeszcze do niedawna komputery kwantowe by\u0142y postrzegane jako odleg\u0142e zagro\u017cenie, kt\u00f3re wp\u0142ynie na kryptowaluty dopiero za kilka dekad. Nowe badania Google znacz\u0105co podwa\u017caj\u0105 to za\u0142o\u017cenie. Wed\u0142ug najnowszych ustale\u0144 z\u0142amanie kryptografii, na kt\u00f3rej opieraj\u0105 si\u0119 Bitcoin i Ethereum, mo\u017ce wymaga\u0107 znacznie mniej zasob\u00f3w obliczeniowych, ni\u017c wcze\u015bniej przypuszczano. Mniej kubit\u00f3w ni\u017c oczekiwano W swoim badaniu Google wskazuje, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":84460,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4855],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-84473","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-cryptonews-pl"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.8 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Google ostrzega, \u017ce komputery kwantowe mog\u0105 z\u0142ama\u0107 Bitcoin w kilka minut. 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