{"id":54182,"date":"2024-03-04T15:06:16","date_gmt":"2024-03-04T14:06:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/?p=54182"},"modified":"2024-03-04T15:06:17","modified_gmt":"2024-03-04T14:06:17","slug":"trumpovy-navrhy-na-zvyseni-cel-by-vyrazne-zasahly-nemeckou-ekonomiku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/cs\/ekonomika\/trumpovy-navrhy-na-zvyseni-cel-by-vyrazne-zasahly-nemeckou-ekonomiku\/","title":{"rendered":"Trumpovy n\u00e1vrhy na zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel by v\u00fdrazn\u011b zas\u00e1hly n\u011bmeckou ekonomiku"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika by do roku 2028 klesla minim\u00e1ln\u011b o 1,2 procenta, pokud by se Donald Trump znovu stal prezidentem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a uskute\u010dnil zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dovozn\u00edch cel, kter\u00e9 navrhuje. Uvedl to dnes n\u011bmeck\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd institut IW. N\u011bmecko je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomikou v Evrop\u011b a nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm obchodn\u00edm partnerem \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trumpovy tarifn\u00ed n\u00e1vrhy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Trump navrhuje zaveden\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00edho desetiprocentn\u00edho cla na ve\u0161ker\u00fd dovoz do USA<\/a> a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel na dovoz z \u010c\u00edny o 40 procentn\u00edch bod\u016f na 60 procent, p\u00ed\u0161e agentura Reuters. Trump vedl Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v letech 2017 a\u017e 2021 a nyn\u00ed je favoritem v boji o nominaci Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strany pro leto\u0161n\u00ed prezidentsk\u00e9 volby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dopad na ekonomiku a obchodn\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu USA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Podle IW by Trumpovy n\u00e1vrhy v prvn\u00edch letech sn\u00ed\u017eily v\u00fdkon americk\u00e9 ekonomiky a\u017e o 1,4 procenta, zejm\u00e9na v d\u016fsledku negativn\u00edho vlivu vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen a nezam\u011bstnanosti na spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje. Zlep\u0161en\u00ed stavu obchodn\u00ed bilance a st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu by v\u0161ak m\u011blo umo\u017enit, aby se ekonomika do roku 2028 z tohoto \u00fatlumu t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zcela zotavila.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mnohem tvrd\u0161\u00ed dopady Trumpov\u00fdch n\u00e1vrh\u016f by podle IW poc\u00edtila Evropa, zejm\u00e9na st\u00e1ty orientovan\u00e9 na export, jako je N\u011bmecko. Institut p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt (HDP<\/a>) N\u011bmecka by se do roku 2028 sn\u00ed\u017eil o 1,2 procenta, a to kv\u016fli poklesu exportu a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9mu propadu soukrom\u00fdch investic. Pokles HDP by mohl \u010dinit a\u017e 1,4 procenta, pokud by \u010c\u00edna na Trumpovy<\/a> kroky reagovala odvetn\u00fdmi dovozn\u00edmi cly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reakce Evropsk\u00e9 unie na Trumpova cla<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

„Evropsk\u00e1 unie by se nyn\u00ed na takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 m\u011bla p\u0159ipravit,“ uvedl IW. „EU by m\u011bla vyu\u017e\u00edt zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Joea Bidena k tomu, aby postavila obchodn\u00ed vztahy s USA na pevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1klady,“ dodal. Evropsk\u00e1 unie by podle institutu m\u011bla rovn\u011b\u017e podepsat dal\u0161\u00ed smlouvy o voln\u00e9m obchodu, nap\u0159\u00edklad s Austr\u00e1li\u00ed, Indi\u00ed, Indon\u00e9si\u00ed \u010di s jihoamerickou skupinou Mercosur, kter\u00e1 zahrnuje mimo jin\u00e9 Argentinu a Braz\u00edlii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Institut rovn\u011b\u017e uvedl, \u017ee EU by si m\u011bla p\u0159ipravit reakci pro p\u0159\u00edpad, \u017ee Trump v prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed a bude hrozit zaveden\u00edm nov\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch bari\u00e9r. „K potla\u010den\u00ed takov\u00e9to hrozby by EU m\u011bla b\u00fdt schopna rovn\u011b\u017e pohrozit v\u011brohodn\u00fdmi odvetn\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi,“ dod\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u011bmeck\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd institut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zdroj: \u010dtk<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika by do roku 2028 klesla minim\u00e1ln\u011b o 1,2 procenta, pokud by se Donald Trump znovu stal prezidentem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a uskute\u010dnil zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dovozn\u00edch cel, kter\u00e9 navrhuje. Uvedl to dnes n\u011bmeck\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd institut IW. N\u011bmecko je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomikou v Evrop\u011b a nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm obchodn\u00edm partnerem \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky. Trumpovy tarifn\u00ed n\u00e1vrhy Trump navrhuje zaveden\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00edho desetiprocentn\u00edho […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":54156,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[244,248],"tags":[93],"class_list":{"0":"post-54182","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ekonomika","8":"category-novinky","9":"tag-usa-cs"},"aioseo_notices":[],"yasr_visitor_votes":{"stars_attributes":{"read_only":false,"span_bottom":false},"number_of_votes":0,"sum_votes":0},"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t